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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+6.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52+8.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+4.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-0.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.90+1.29vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-0.41vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-5.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.35vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-3.24vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-3.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.18vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.6Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.8Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Emma Marston | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.