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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+2.23vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+6.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.26+0.03vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82+0.26vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01+0.97vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.05-0.39vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+1.82vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54+2.44vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.09-1.92vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.67-0.24vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-2.05-0.46vs Predicted
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16College of Coastal Georgia-3.12+0.58vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-2.02-2.32vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.94-12.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Jacksonville University1.5516.6%1st Place
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4.23University of Miami1.6416.7%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University1.5816.9%1st Place
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10.79University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
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5.03University of South Florida1.2611.9%1st Place
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6.26Jacksonville University0.828.3%1st Place
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6.58Rollins College0.416.8%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida0.013.0%1st Place
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8.61Wake Forest University0.053.4%1st Place
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11.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.1%1st Place
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13.44Embry-Riddle University-1.540.8%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College0.091.8%1st Place
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11.25University of Florida-1.041.2%1st Place
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13.76University of Central Florida-1.670.7%1st Place
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14.54Florida State University-2.050.3%1st Place
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16.58College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
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14.68Davidson College-2.020.4%1st Place
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5.99Jacksonville University0.948.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 16.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Efe Guder | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 13.9% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 56.9% |
| Jim Wang | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 13.8% |
| Darby Smith | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.