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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.12+1.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.30+0.30vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-0.21vs Predicted
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5American University0.59+0.72vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.16-2.49vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4College of Charleston2.930.4%1st Place
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3.53Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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3.3College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.79Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.72American University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.51Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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5.75Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Warren | 35.7% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hadley Burnham | 13.9% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Nicole Hause | 15.6% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 13.1% | 4.5% |
| Leigh Cramer | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 29.7% | 40.5% |
| Drew Lisicki | 16.1% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Robert Dye | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 25.9% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.