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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.36+4.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.90-1.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-2.47vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-4.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-3.27vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.33Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Emma Marston | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.