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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+3.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+5.65vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+3.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.90-0.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-3.35vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-3.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.12-4.65vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.38-9.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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12.38Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 21.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emma Marston | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.