Race 1B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sophie Hibben 16.0% 13.6% 15.0% 11.3% 10.5% 9.4% 6.9% 5.9% 3.8% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma White 15.7% 13.5% 11.7% 13.3% 10.3% 7.6% 8.3% 5.5% 6.0% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 10.9% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 12.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 4.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Rebecca Read 5.1% 7.2% 6.9% 7.2% 6.8% 9.4% 6.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8%
Emily Haig 16.3% 17.7% 16.4% 12.5% 10.2% 9.1% 6.1% 5.2% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Wagner 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 10.9% 12.5% 38.3%
Lolly Vasilion 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0%
Allison Cahn 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 7.4% 5.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 4.9% 4.7% 1.7%
Teagan Cunningham 2.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 11.5% 12.0% 10.6%
Madeline Pope 2.3% 4.2% 3.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.4% 4.1% 5.8% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 10.3% 10.2% 10.3% 9.3% 7.1%
Anisha Arcot 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 6.2% 7.3% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 11.7% 13.6% 10.0%
Emma Batcher 4.1% 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 6.4% 7.7% 6.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.4% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 7.2% 3.6%
Victoria Pajak 2.8% 3.3% 5.3% 6.3% 4.9% 5.5% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 6.1% 3.3%
Abbie Carlson 4.7% 4.0% 4.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 7.2% 9.1% 7.6% 8.9% 7.3% 5.0% 4.8% 2.2%
Elena Gonick 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 3.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 11.3% 15.7% 14.4%
Darden Purrington 2.9% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.1% 7.5% 9.5% 8.2% 9.2% 10.4% 9.3% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.