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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+2.18vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+6.74vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26-0.94vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-0.69vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41-1.34vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.09+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.04+1.08vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54+2.69vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.33vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.05-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.01-4.90vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.12+1.62vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.05-1.38vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.67-3.28vs Predicted
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18Davidson College-2.02-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Jacksonville University1.5517.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Miami1.6416.8%1st Place
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4.23Jacksonville University1.5816.6%1st Place
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10.74University of Central Florida-0.462.1%1st Place
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5.89Jacksonville University0.948.7%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida1.2611.1%1st Place
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6.31Jacksonville University0.828.1%1st Place
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6.66Rollins College0.416.7%1st Place
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9.99Rollins College0.092.3%1st Place
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11.08University of Florida-1.041.6%1st Place
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13.69Embry-Riddle University-1.540.4%1st Place
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11.67Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.1%1st Place
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8.74Wake Forest University0.053.0%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida0.012.9%1st Place
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16.62College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
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14.62Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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13.72University of Central Florida-1.670.8%1st Place
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14.61Davidson College-2.020.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 17.0% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Darby Smith | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 57.9% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 14.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 6.0% |
| Jim Wang | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.