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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.65+4.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+7.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+2.74vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+2.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.23+1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+0.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.29-0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.24+2.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-2.24vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03+0.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-1.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-7.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-9.20vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.81vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.27Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.92Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.8Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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15.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 52.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.