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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+4.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.65+3.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+3.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+3.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.29+1.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59+2.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23-0.66vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-1.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-4.24vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03+0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.24-0.93vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.49-6.30vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-3.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.59vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.81vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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5.76Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.87Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.19Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bram Brakman | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joey Lark | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 8.1% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 53.1% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.