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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+8.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.23+5.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20+4.60vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+2.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.29+2.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.65+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76-1.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.42+2.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.47-2.19vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.03+1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+2.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-6.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-4.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.24-2.72vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.12-7.08vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.47vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.81Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.78Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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11.28Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Moran | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 17.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.