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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.29+6.10vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+7.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+2.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+2.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42+5.29vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.23+1.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.65-1.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63+4.22vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+5.18vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.24+0.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-4.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.20-5.25vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-7.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.71-10.18vs Predicted
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17Bentley University1.03-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.0%1st Place
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15.18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.23Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.83Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Read | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Moran | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 49.9% |
| Cameron McManus | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 11.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.