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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.65+4.82vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+7.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.24+8.11vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+1.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.80vs Predicted
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7Bentley University1.03+4.83vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23-0.66vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49-2.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.42+0.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-2.92vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.20-4.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.29-5.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-8.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.61vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.79vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.63-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.83Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.21Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Brendan Read | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 12.1% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 53.0% |
| Jack Eberhardt | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.