← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.58+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.55+2.14vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.82+3.35vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.26+1.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami1.64-0.76vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.09+4.24vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.01+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.41-1.47vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.94-3.10vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-1.04+1.11vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.54+2.53vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.05-3.33vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-0.46-2.11vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.29vs Predicted
-
15Davidson College-2.02-0.30vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.67-2.27vs Predicted
-
17College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.38vs Predicted
-
18Florida State University-2.05-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Jacksonville University1.5817.4%1st Place
-
4.14Jacksonville University1.5516.1%1st Place
-
6.35Jacksonville University0.827.5%1st Place
-
5.0University of South Florida1.2613.0%1st Place
-
4.24University of Miami1.6416.1%1st Place
-
10.24Rollins College0.092.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of South Florida0.012.9%1st Place
-
6.53Rollins College0.416.5%1st Place
-
5.9Jacksonville University0.948.2%1st Place
-
11.11University of Florida-1.041.9%1st Place
-
13.53Embry-Riddle University-1.540.5%1st Place
-
8.67Wake Forest University0.053.9%1st Place
-
10.89University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
-
11.71Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.4%1st Place
-
14.7Davidson College-2.020.2%1st Place
-
13.73University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
-
16.62College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.2%1st Place
-
14.6Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 17.4% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake March | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Jim Wang | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 14.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 6.4% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 58.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.