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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.12+1.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.30+0.28vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.16-0.50vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.15vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.15vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4College of Charleston2.930.4%1st Place
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3.53Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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3.28College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.5Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.85Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.6American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Warren | 36.5% | 24.0% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Hadley Burnham | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Nicole Hause | 16.4% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 1.7% |
| Drew Lisicki | 16.4% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.4% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Robert Dye | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 26.3% | 46.2% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 29.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.