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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.65+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+3.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20+4.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+3.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.29+2.01vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.23+0.41vs Predicted
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8Bentley University1.03+3.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-3.09vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.47-3.56vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.24+0.01vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.59-2.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-2.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-6.18vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.38vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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11.29Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.01Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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14.62Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron McManus | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Joey Lark | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 34.3% | 24.9% |
| Benjamin Xu | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 64.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.