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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.65+3.79vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+4.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+1.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.29+1.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+0.66vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20+0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-1.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23-2.74vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.42-0.65vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.03-0.54vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59-3.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.76vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.39vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.03vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.24-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.46Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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14.61Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Joey Lark | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 35.0% | 25.3% |
| Benjamin Xu | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 18.5% | 64.9% |
| Cameron McManus | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.