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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+5.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+3.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+1.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.65+0.80vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.29+0.18vs Predicted
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8Bentley University1.03+3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-4.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.20-3.35vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.24-1.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.76vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.72vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-5.38vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.42-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.28Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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10.83Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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14.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Moran | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 36.8% | 25.2% |
| Joey Lark | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Xu | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 18.5% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.