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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.43+5.47vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+5.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+6.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+2.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.29+1.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76-1.50vs Predicted
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8Bentley University1.03+3.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.24+2.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-2.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-5.22vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23-4.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.20vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-3.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.02vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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11.23Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.02Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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16.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.71Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Pedersen | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Cameron McManus | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Xu | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 18.5% | 65.1% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 34.3% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.