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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29+5.03vs Predicted
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3Bentley University1.03+8.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+1.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.43+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76-1.51vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-3.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.24+0.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-4.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-1.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-6.57vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.94vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.24vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.48Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.43Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.79Boston College1.240.0%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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15.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Perham Black | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron McManus | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 18.9% | 63.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 36.0% | 24.9% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.