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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+5.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+4.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+0.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.56vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+4.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93-1.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63+1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05-2.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94-2.78vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.75-0.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.25vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.09-0.02vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+0.51vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.82-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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13.98Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.02Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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16.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Braden Foster | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 36.4% | 8.5% |
| John Holt | 0.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 4.4% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 9.0% | 82.5% |
| Colin Ray | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.