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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+3.33vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+6.16vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+0.91vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94+2.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93-1.99vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33-1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.82+2.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-4.23vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.09+0.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-3.14vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.75-4.07vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.91Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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13.96Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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13.03Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| Braden Foster | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 34.3% | 9.5% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| John Holt | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 4.3% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 1.3% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.