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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+6.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+8.61vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+7.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+1.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.33+1.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63+2.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50-1.75vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.75+3.00vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-4.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-6.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.82-0.39vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+0.17vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-7.53vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.09-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-8.18vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.2Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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13.17Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.91Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 1.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| John Holt | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 5.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 35.0% | 8.7% |
| Colin Richards | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.