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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+5.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+2.69vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63+3.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.33-0.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+2.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.82+2.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-5.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-0.23vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.09+1.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.75-1.11vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.87vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+1.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-9.55vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.81-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.35Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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13.93Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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16.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 3.3% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Colin Ray | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 1.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 33.8% | 9.5% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 1.6% |
| John Holt | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 4.4% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 81.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.