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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.12+2.50vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.93+0.38vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.30+0.30vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.16-0.47vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.17vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.15vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Washington College2.120.2%1st Place
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2.38College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.3College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.53Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.83Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.6American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadley Burnham | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.4% | 26.2% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Hause | 17.4% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Drew Lisicki | 15.9% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.6% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| Robert Dye | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 26.2% | 46.2% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 28.0% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.