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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.20+4.13vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+2.15vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.01+4.87vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26-1.14vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+2.74vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41-2.45vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.09+0.02vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54+2.62vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-1.78vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University0.05-5.36vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.67-1.22vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.05-1.41vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-2.02-2.54vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Jacksonville University1.2012.7%1st Place
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4.15University of Miami1.6416.9%1st Place
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6.07Jacksonville University0.828.8%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida0.013.2%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University1.4518.0%1st Place
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4.86University of South Florida1.2612.2%1st Place
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5.82Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
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10.74University of Central Florida-0.461.7%1st Place
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6.55Rollins College0.416.1%1st Place
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10.02Rollins College0.092.4%1st Place
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13.62Embry-Riddle University-1.540.5%1st Place
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11.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.4%1st Place
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11.22University of Florida-1.041.7%1st Place
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8.64Wake Forest University0.053.9%1st Place
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13.78University of Central Florida-1.670.5%1st Place
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14.59Florida State University-2.050.7%1st Place
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14.46Davidson College-2.020.4%1st Place
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16.73College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 13.8% |
| Jim Wang | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 11.9% |
| James Nave | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.