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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+3.36vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+3.40vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63+5.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94+3.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+1.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-2.93vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.38+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05-2.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.50-4.50vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.09+2.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-2.05vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.68vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-4.11vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.82-4.12vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.03Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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13.32Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 36.4% | 8.5% |
| Braden Foster | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| John Holt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 25.1% | 4.4% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin Ray | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.