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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+7.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+3.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+1.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+1.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+5.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+0.57vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.09+7.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.82+2.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.63-1.59vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-1.11vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+2.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-7.10vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.72vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.33-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.03Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.94Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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10.25Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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16.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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13.28Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 35.8% | 9.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 1.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 82.6% |
| Colin Richards | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Holt | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 4.4% |
| John Walton | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.