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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.63+8.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+4.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.39vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93-0.01vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+5.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+1.27vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.09+5.88vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.38+1.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.82+1.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.24vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+1.18vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-6.51vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+2.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-8.05vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.01-12.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.09Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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13.88Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.86Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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13.18Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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16.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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4.97Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 37.1% | 8.8% |
| Anthony Root | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Ray | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 2.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 25.0% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 8.6% | 82.9% |
| Braden Foster | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Colin Richards | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.