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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+2.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+2.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+0.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13+3.89vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.67vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63+0.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.33-3.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94-2.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.82-0.17vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-4.19vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.09-1.92vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.89Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.27Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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14.08Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ray | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 2.1% |
| Anthony Root | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| John Holt | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 26.1% | 4.1% |
| Braden Foster | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 34.6% | 9.5% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.