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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.63+8.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+4.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93-0.04vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.38+4.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-2.10vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.09+5.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.82+2.98vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15+0.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-0.02vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-5.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-6.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-6.02vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.82vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+0.53vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.50-10.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.29Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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13.87Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.18Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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16.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 36.0% | 9.5% |
| Colin Ray | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 0.5% |
| Braden Foster | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| John Walton | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 5.2% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 8.9% | 82.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.