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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+2.13vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+0.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+10.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.74+0.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69-1.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.63-1.68vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.57+0.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-6.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.16-7.47vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.09-2.31vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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16.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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10.2Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.69Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.14Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 13.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 38.7% | 49.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 23.3% | 23.5% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Root | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Riley Read | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 40.4% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 8.2% | 38.0% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.