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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+3.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.13+4.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+1.52vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01-0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94+1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63+0.39vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.57+2.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.69-1.87vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.74-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+3.08vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.16-6.36vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-5.00vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.09-2.25vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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12.26Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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16.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.0Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.75Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Jackson Connell | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 7.0% | 37.7% | 48.9% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 39.6% | 15.8% | 2.5% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 9.0% | 37.8% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.