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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island0.69+3.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.39+1.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.04+0.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-1.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.28-3.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27-3.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27-4.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.54-2.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University-0.74-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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7.37Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Gunn | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Robert Bartlett | 12.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Biondi | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Lera Anders | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.9% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| William DeLong | 15.6% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Evan Robison | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Camden Baer | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 28.3% | 38.2% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 24.8% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.