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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University1.04+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.69+2.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.39-0.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-1.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.28-3.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University-0.54-0.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.74-1.38vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.14-5.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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7.34Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Biondi | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Peter Gunn | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% |
| Robert Bartlett | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| William DeLong | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Camden Baer | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 27.0% | 38.1% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 26.2% | 46.4% |
| Lera Anders | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Evan Robison | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.