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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+3.14vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University0.05+6.52vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+2.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.20+1.27vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.01+2.62vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82-0.74vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+3.68vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.26-4.19vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.45-5.85vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.41-4.51vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-2.01vs Predicted
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14Davidson College-2.02+0.57vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.24vs Predicted
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16College of Coastal Georgia-3.12+0.80vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.05-2.42vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.67-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Miami1.6417.6%1st Place
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8.52Wake Forest University0.053.6%1st Place
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5.88Jacksonville University0.948.6%1st Place
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5.27Jacksonville University1.2010.9%1st Place
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9.98Rollins College0.092.1%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida0.013.0%1st Place
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6.26Jacksonville University0.828.3%1st Place
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11.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.4%1st Place
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4.81University of South Florida1.2613.7%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University1.4517.2%1st Place
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6.49Rollins College0.417.7%1st Place
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10.79University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
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10.99University of Florida-1.041.5%1st Place
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14.57Davidson College-2.020.3%1st Place
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13.76Embry-Riddle University-1.540.5%1st Place
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16.8College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
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14.58Florida State University-2.050.5%1st Place
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13.7University of Central Florida-1.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake March | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Efe Guder | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jim Wang | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 12.4% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 58.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 12.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.