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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+3.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.04+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.69+2.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+0.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.06-0.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.39-4.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.14-4.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University-0.74-2.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.85Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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6.39Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Biondi | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Peter Gunn | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| William DeLong | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Juan Briano | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 23.6% | 21.6% |
| Robert Bartlett | 17.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Lera Anders | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 58.0% |
| Evan Robison | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.