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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.69+4.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+1.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.04+0.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28-1.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.39-3.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-3.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.06-2.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-5.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University-0.74-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Gunn | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 7.1% |
| William DeLong | 10.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Biondi | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.4% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bartlett | 18.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Lera Anders | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Juan Briano | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 22.2% |
| Evan Robison | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.