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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.39+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.69+3.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+1.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.14+0.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.04-0.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28-2.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.74-1.33vs Predicted
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10Brown University-0.54-2.67vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.390.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.39Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
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7.33Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bartlett | 16.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Gunn | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 5.3% |
| William DeLong | 14.4% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Lera Anders | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Biondi | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 22.0% | 49.4% |
| Camden Baer | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 28.4% | 36.4% |
| Evan Robison | 14.9% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.