← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.14+3.33vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.39+1.99vs Predicted
-
3Brown University-0.54+4.39vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.69+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.28-1.04vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.04-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.27-4.95vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.27-5.96vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University-0.74-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.99Tufts University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.39Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
-
3.96Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
-
4.51Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
-
4.05Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
-
4.04Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
-
7.61Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bartlett | 12.9% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Camden Baer | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 26.3% | 39.8% |
| Peter Gunn | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Biondi | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| William DeLong | 15.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Evan Robison | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 26.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.