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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+3.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.39+1.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28+0.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.69-1.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University-0.74-0.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.06-2.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.04-5.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University0.060.0%1st Place
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4.62Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bartlett | 12.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 16.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| William DeLong | 15.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Peter Gunn | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 8.1% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 56.7% |
| Juan Briano | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 25.9% | 22.8% |
| Aidan Biondi | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Evan Robison | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.