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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.39+2.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.69+1.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-1.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.04-1.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-3.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University-0.54-1.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.14-5.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University-0.74-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.390.2%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.39Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bartlett | 17.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 11.7% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Gunn | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Evan Robison | 16.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Biondi | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| William DeLong | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Camden Baer | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 28.5% | 36.6% |
| Lera Anders | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Dorothy Waskow | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 24.1% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.