← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.64+3.13vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.82+3.98vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.20+2.27vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.26+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.45-0.79vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.41+0.51vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.09+3.15vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.94-2.12vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-1.54+4.57vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-1.04+1.14vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-0.46-0.19vs Predicted
-
12Davidson College-2.02+2.62vs Predicted
-
13Wake Forest University0.05-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.31vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida0.01-6.18vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.67-2.38vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University-2.05-2.39vs Predicted
-
18College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.13University of Miami1.6417.2%1st Place
-
5.98Jacksonville University0.828.7%1st Place
-
5.27Jacksonville University1.2011.6%1st Place
-
4.89University of South Florida1.2613.8%1st Place
-
4.21Jacksonville University1.4516.0%1st Place
-
6.51Rollins College0.417.5%1st Place
-
10.15Rollins College0.091.5%1st Place
-
5.88Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
-
13.57Embry-Riddle University-1.540.5%1st Place
-
11.14University of Florida-1.041.7%1st Place
-
10.81University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
-
14.62Davidson College-2.020.4%1st Place
-
8.48Wake Forest University0.054.4%1st Place
-
11.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
-
8.82University of South Florida0.012.9%1st Place
-
13.62University of Central Florida-1.670.7%1st Place
-
14.61Florida State University-2.050.3%1st Place
-
16.6College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Hardee | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Agija Elerte | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Brent Penwarden | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Efe Guder | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hank Seum | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jackson McGeough | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Darby Smith | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rylie Cataldo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
Ayden Feria | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Jim Wang | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 13.7% |
Quinn Healey | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
Blake March | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 13.8% |
James Nave | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.