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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.30+1.24vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.16+0.48vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-0.21vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.12-1.39vs Predicted
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6Auburn University0.45-0.13vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41College of Charleston2.930.4%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.48Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.79Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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3.61Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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5.87Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.61American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Warren | 36.9% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Hause | 17.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.0% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 13.3% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Hadley Burnham | 12.5% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Robert Dye | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 26.9% | 46.2% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 28.6% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.