Race 1B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
TJ Danilek 32.1% 26.3% 18.9% 12.6% 7.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Cahalan 2.5% 1.9% 3.7% 3.8% 5.7% 9.7% 18.3% 24.6% 20.0% 8.0% 1.8%
Harrison Bailey 11.9% 12.1% 16.9% 14.8% 17.5% 13.4% 9.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 7.7% 9.0% 10.9% 13.8% 16.4% 18.7% 12.4% 8.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Pierce Ornstein 21.8% 22.7% 18.9% 13.4% 12.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 1.9% 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 7.4% 12.8% 20.4% 24.4% 13.7% 5.6% 1.2%
Darby Reddaway 9.7% 10.6% 11.2% 14.6% 16.0% 15.9% 12.5% 7.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Carolina Cassedy 10.7% 13.0% 13.2% 20.0% 13.1% 13.5% 9.5% 5.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Sasser 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.7% 2.8% 4.4% 8.5% 21.6% 28.7% 29.4%
Marshall Brady 0.5% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 3.9% 8.0% 17.4% 27.4% 37.7%
Ian Cannon 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 3.1% 4.4% 9.7% 20.6% 29.2% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.