Race 2B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Pierce Ornstein 18.1% 23.2% 19.2% 17.1% 12.7% 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 36.0% 24.1% 18.0% 11.9% 6.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Darby Reddaway 7.5% 9.0% 10.9% 13.8% 13.8% 18.5% 15.1% 8.2% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 7.8% 8.2% 12.4% 13.3% 16.3% 17.3% 14.6% 7.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Harrison Bailey 12.9% 14.7% 16.1% 16.0% 16.2% 10.8% 8.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolina Cassedy 10.4% 12.0% 14.1% 14.5% 14.3% 16.8% 9.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Jennifer Cahalan 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 7.0% 9.2% 17.1% 25.4% 17.4% 8.1% 2.1%
Marshall Brady 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 3.0% 8.2% 19.5% 29.4% 34.2%
Elizabeth Sasser 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 9.3% 21.1% 28.7% 29.5%
Ian Cannon 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 4.3% 7.8% 20.7% 27.3% 33.3%
Sara Boyd 2.7% 3.9% 4.2% 6.3% 8.4% 12.4% 19.5% 23.7% 12.8% 5.3% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.