Race 3B

saisa-np

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Pierce Ornstein 18.2% 22.0% 19.9% 17.4% 12.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 35.9% 23.4% 18.5% 12.3% 5.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 7.6% 9.2% 12.0% 12.7% 14.2% 19.0% 14.1% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Cahalan 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 6.0% 9.3% 16.9% 25.1% 19.6% 9.7% 2.3%
Harrison Bailey 12.9% 15.0% 16.4% 14.8% 15.1% 11.6% 9.3% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolina Cassedy 9.6% 13.5% 11.9% 15.2% 16.8% 15.6% 10.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 9.5% 11.8% 20.2% 22.8% 13.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Darby Reddaway 9.0% 9.2% 12.1% 16.1% 15.1% 16.8% 11.3% 7.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Marshall Brady 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 3.8% 7.0% 16.6% 28.3% 38.7%
Elizabeth Sasser 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 5.5% 10.2% 20.5% 30.0% 26.6%
Ian Cannon 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 2.1% 5.0% 7.9% 23.6% 26.5% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.