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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.68+1.60vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+2.14vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.71+3.05vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.63+1.69vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-0.36+0.25vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-2.23+1.34vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.17-5.52vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-2.08-0.88vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-2.33-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6College of Charleston1.680.3%1st Place
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4.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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4.35Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.05University of South Carolina-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.25Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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3.59Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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9.34University of Tennessee-2.230.0%1st Place
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3.48North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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9.12Davidson College-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.4Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Ornstein | 30.6% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Thess | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Sara Boyd | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 17.3% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Cannon | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 26.2% | 32.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 18.7% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Sasser | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 26.1% | 28.3% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 27.7% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.