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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.68+1.57vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+2.14vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+1.42vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.17-0.54vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-1.27vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-0.36+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.63-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.71-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.23+0.38vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-2.08-0.89vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-2.33-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57College of Charleston1.680.3%1st Place
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4.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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4.42Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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3.73Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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6.32Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.83University of South Carolina-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Tennessee-2.230.0%1st Place
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9.11Davidson College-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.41Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Ornstein | 30.9% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 10.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 17.7% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Ashley Thess | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Ian Cannon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 17.7% | 26.5% | 34.5% |
| Elizabeth Sasser | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 26.7% | 26.4% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 26.3% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.