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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+2.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.12+5.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+4.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80-2.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+0.57vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.74-2.40vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.72-0.35vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.18+1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.02-6.38vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.06-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.73vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.52-1.58vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-3.41vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.68-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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8.44Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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7.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.62Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.65McGill University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.59Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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12.22Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.42Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.96Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 25.2% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Wallace | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Qu | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ali Dawes | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Doherty | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| Owen Daniell | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.