← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.64+1.85vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.26+1.24vs Predicted
-
3University of Central Florida-0.46+4.64vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.82+0.17vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.09+2.24vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.41-1.55vs Predicted
-
7Wake Forest University0.05-1.11vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.48vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.01-2.72vs Predicted
-
10Davidson College-2.02+0.88vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.87vs Predicted
-
12College of Coastal Georgia-3.12+0.76vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University-2.05-2.11vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-1.67-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85University of Miami1.6427.2%1st Place
-
3.24University of South Florida1.2622.2%1st Place
-
7.64University of Central Florida-0.462.8%1st Place
-
4.17Jacksonville University0.8214.1%1st Place
-
7.24Rollins College0.093.3%1st Place
-
4.45Rollins College0.4112.4%1st Place
-
5.89Wake Forest University0.057.2%1st Place
-
8.48Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
-
6.28University of South Florida0.014.9%1st Place
-
10.88Davidson College-2.020.8%1st Place
-
10.13Embry-Riddle University-1.540.9%1st Place
-
12.76College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.5%1st Place
-
10.89Florida State University-2.050.7%1st Place
-
10.08University of Central Florida-1.671.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Hardee | 27.2% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Efe Guder | 22.2% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Julian Larsen | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Agija Elerte | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jackson McGeough | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Hilton Kamps | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Quinn Healey | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
Blake March | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Jim Wang | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 12.2% |
Rylie Cataldo | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
James Nave | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 58.7% |
Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 13.9% |
Rain Hong | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.