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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+2.36vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.72+7.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+3.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.74+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80-2.31vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.12+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.17+0.17vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.06+3.29vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-2.56vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.02-6.37vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.23vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-0.03vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.52-1.60vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.18-3.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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9.64McGill University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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8.39Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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12.29Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.75Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.97Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.4Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.6Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 25.2% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Qu | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Davis Doherty | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| Caroline King | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Mott Blair | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 26.3% |
| Owen Daniell | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 21.2% |
| Ali Dawes | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% |
| Maeve Glancy | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.