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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.74+4.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02+1.62vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.17+2.43vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.72+2.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.12+0.32vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.18+3.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79-3.76vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.72-1.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.20+0.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-6.83vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68-0.03vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.52-1.60vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.06-3.81vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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7.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.71Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.32Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.69Wesleyan University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.75McGill University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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13.97Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.4Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.19Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 22.4% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 22.6% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Emery Wallace | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ali Dawes | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Qu | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Maeve Glancy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 27.5% |
| Owen Daniell | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| Davis Doherty | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Griffin Brayer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.