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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+1.44vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.80+1.79vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98+0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.69+3.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20-3.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.23+1.64vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18-3.33vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.82+1.20vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.02-1.85vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.28-3.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.78vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.44Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.79McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.09Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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10.64Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.21Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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13.2Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.15Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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10.45Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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13.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.49Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 29.0% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 30.4% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.