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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.77+2.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.80+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+0.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28-2.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.18-1.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.23+0.48vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.82+2.17vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.70vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.64-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+0.20vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.02-3.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.96vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.88McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.44Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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10.48Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.17Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.3Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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9.37Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.09Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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14.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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16.5Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Camille Britton | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 4.2% |
| Corinne Poitras | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 32.7% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 27.5% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.